The tariff wall.
Jun 02, 2019 16:06 PM

The commercial punishment of the US to Mexico for alleged negligence in the fight against illegal immigration will generate more unemployment and conflicts, without solving a crisis that is chronic since the economic collapse of Mexico in 1994, causing a massive outflow of day laborers to California, Texas, Arizona or Nevada. Andrés Manuel López Obrador must rethink his migration policy, frequently used as a currency in the negotiations of the Free Trade Agreement and agreements on police collaboration. He has responded to the ultimatum with a concert of violins, but since Trump's understandings are what they are, the symphonic prelude will be of little use. While waiting to build the physical wall promised to their constituents, the US president entertains them with a tariff that would be devastating if the 25% tax was paid.

 Mexico is a country of emigrants but also of returnees and pedestrian traffic fleeing poverty and violence, unstoppable while the famished economies and institutions of Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras do not fulfill their duties. López Obrador has little room for maneuver beyond closing national borders with the Army and protecting immigrants from gangs and extortionists. It can appease Trump by expanding the fluvial bases on the border with Guatemala and Belize and strengthening the security cordons of civil servants, police patrols and soldiers who kick out undocumented trains.

The commercial punishment of the US to Mexico for alleged negligence in the fight against illegal immigration will generate more unemployment and conflicts, without solving a crisis that is chronic since the economic collapse of Mexico in 1994, causing a massive outflow of laborers to California, Texas, Arizona or Nevada. Andrés Manuel López Obrador must rethink his migration policy, frequently used as a currency in the negotiations of the Free Trade Agreement and agreements on police collaboration. I have responded to the ultimatum with a concert of violins, but since Trump's understandings are what they are, the symphonic prelude will be of little use.

While waiting to build the physical wall, promised to their constituents, the US president entertains them with a tariff that would be devastating if the 25% tax was paid. Mexico is a country of emigrants but also of returnees and pedestrian traffic fleeing poverty and violence, unstoppable while the famished economies and institutions of Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras do not fulfill their duties. Lopez Obrador has little room for maneuver beyond closing national borders with the Army and protecting immigrants from gangs and extortionists. It can appease Trump by expanding the fluvial bases on the border with Guatemala and Belize and strengthening the security cordons of civil servants, police patrols and soldiers who kick out undocumented trains.